Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001823 0.001947 0.002076 0.002220 0.002376 0.002541 0.002728
2024-12-29 0.001620 0.001791 0.001976 0.002192 0.002437 0.002707 0.003029
2025-01-05 0.001482 0.001682 0.001906 0.002174 0.002490 0.002852 0.003300
2025-01-12 0.001362 0.001578 0.001826 0.002132 0.002503 0.002940 0.003498
2025-01-19 0.001277 0.001506 0.001775 0.002114 0.002536 0.003046 0.003719
2025-01-26 0.001171 0.001402 0.001676 0.002030 0.002479 0.003035 0.003785
2025-02-02 0.001146 0.001393 0.001692 0.002085 0.002596 0.003243 0.004140
2025-02-09 0.001116 0.001374 0.001694 0.002121 0.002687 0.003421 0.004463
2025-02-16 0.001113 0.001389 0.001737 0.002211 0.002852 0.003702 0.004940
2025-02-23 0.001073 0.001355 0.001713 0.002211 0.002894 0.003819 0.005195
2025-03-02 0.001010 0.001287 0.001644 0.002144 0.002843 0.003802 0.005255
2025-03-09 0.000966 0.001243 0.001603 0.002115 0.002839 0.003850 0.005411
2025-03-16 0.000929 0.001209 0.001578 0.002112 0.002881 0.003978 0.005712
2025-03-23 0.000887 0.001166 0.001540 0.002090 0.002895 0.004066 0.005960
2025-03-30 0.000850 0.001130 0.001509 0.002074 0.002917 0.004166 0.006233
2025-04-06 0.000809 0.001084 0.001463 0.002035 0.002900 0.004205 0.006411
2025-04-13 0.000777 0.001052 0.001434 0.002018 0.002916 0.004294 0.006674
2025-04-20 0.000729 0.000994 0.001365 0.001939 0.002831 0.004220 0.006657
2025-04-27 0.000723 0.000996 0.001383 0.001991 0.002953 0.004481 0.007230
2025-05-04 0.000712 0.000990 0.001390 0.002025 0.003047 0.004702 0.007751
2025-05-11 0.000716 0.001006 0.001428 0.002109 0.003227 0.005078 0.008578
2025-05-18 0.000697 0.000987 0.001413 0.002109 0.003268 0.005216 0.008981
2025-05-25 0.000663 0.000944 0.001360 0.002046 0.003200 0.005164 0.009017